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Africa security

Behavioural insights for understanding modern warfare, security challenges, & strategic decision-making

Somaliland After Recognition: Why the Pushback — and What Comes Next?
Somaliland has governed itself for more than three decades —…
Why Israel’s Recognition of Somaliland May Have Been a Diplomatic Misstep: Analytical Commentary
Israel became the first UN member state to recognise Somaliland…
Wagner After Prigozhin: Proxy Force and State Power in Africa
Wagner’s role in Africa did not end with Prigozhin —…
The Private Armies of a Fragmenting Continent: PMCs, Sovereignty, and the Illusion of Control
As African states confront deepening security fragmentation, private military companies…
Africa’s New Security Geometry: How Substate Actors & Proto-States are Changing the Continent
A detailed analysis of Africa’s evolving security landscape, showing how…
Africa’s Quiet Power Struggle: RSG Interview with Dr Joan Swart
A brief RSG interview with Dr Joan Swart exploring Africa’s…
Simon’s Town: The Cape Naval Base the United States Cannot Afford to Lose
China’s growing naval presence in South Africa is no longer…
Mozambique’s Insurgency Eight Years On: A Contained Threat, Not a Resolved One
Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado insurgency has entered its eighth year —…