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Geopolitics

Behavioural insights for understanding modern warfare, security challenges, & strategic decision-making

Somaliland After Recognition: Why the Pushback — and What Comes Next?
Somaliland has governed itself for more than three decades —…
Why Israel’s Recognition of Somaliland May Have Been a Diplomatic Misstep: Analytical Commentary
Israel became the first UN member state to recognise Somaliland…
The Private Armies of a Fragmenting Continent: PMCs, Sovereignty, and the Illusion of Control
As African states confront deepening security fragmentation, private military companies…
Africa’s New Security Geometry: How Substate Actors & Proto-States are Changing the Continent
A detailed analysis of Africa’s evolving security landscape, showing how…
Africa’s Quiet Power Struggle: RSG Interview with Dr Joan Swart
A brief RSG interview with Dr Joan Swart exploring Africa’s…
Simon’s Town: The Cape Naval Base the United States Cannot Afford to Lose
China’s growing naval presence in South Africa is no longer…
Mozambique’s Insurgency Eight Years On: A Contained Threat, Not a Resolved One
Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado insurgency has entered its eighth year —…
Russia’s War in Ukraine: A Study in Modern Hybrid-Attritional Warfare
Russia’s campaign in Ukraine has evolved into a sophisticated blend…
’n Onafhanklike Wes-Kaap: Die VSA se toegang tot ’n stabiele bondgenoot in Afrika
'n Toespraak by ’n dag-seminaar deur die Pionier Instituut handel…